Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +34 (117-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Mallette | 30 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Mike Mitchell | 30 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jan Zidek | 29 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Darryl Polk | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kendall Munson | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jade' Smith | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Maxwell Lewis | 18 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Keith Fisher | 17 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Carson Basham | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jay Yoon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Watson | 25 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 25 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Nolan Hickman | 22 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Rasir Bolton | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 22 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Chet Holmgren | 21 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Drew Timme | 20 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard | 20 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Martynas Arlauskas | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Matthew Lang | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Joe Few | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Graves | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter