Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +46 (95-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cone * | 33 | 7-18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Mason Stark * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| Nik Mains * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Ezekiel Richards * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Carson Towt * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Jay Green | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Ajang Aguek | 16 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Lewis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Wynton Brown | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carter Mahaney | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jayden Jackson | 4 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Spencer Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 22 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Martynas Arlauskas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matthew Lang | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 26 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Rasir Bolton * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nolan Hickman | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Anton Watson | 18 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Ben Gregg | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kaden Perry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Joe Few | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Graves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter