Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +46 (95-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cone * | 33 | 7-18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| M. Stark * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| N. Mains * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| E. Richards * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Towt * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Green | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Aguek | 16 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Lewis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Brown | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Mahaney | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Jackson | 4 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nembhard | 22 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Arlauskas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Lang | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Holmgren * | 26 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| D. Timme * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Strawther * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Bolton * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| H. Sallis | 26 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Hickman | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Watson | 18 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. Gregg | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Perry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Few | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Graves | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter