Model Predictions
| Model | Merrimack Warriors | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.4% | 99.6% | +29.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Merrimack Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Watkins * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Z. Reid * | 35 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| J. Minor * | 26 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| J. McKoy * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Edmead * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Derring | 19 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Jensen | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Connolly | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Berry III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Isaacson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nembhard | 29 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Lang | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Arlauskas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Timme * | 27 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| C. Holmgren * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 21 | - |
| R. Bolton * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Strawther * | 17 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Watson | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 20 | - |
| N. Hickman | 22 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| H. Sallis | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Gregg | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Few | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Graves | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter