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2021-11-17

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 80.4% 19.6% -
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.7 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 87.3% 12.7% -
Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% -
Log Adjusted 82.5% 17.5% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Pepper * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 1 2 18 23 -
C. Anigwe * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 3 18 25 -
A. Adebayo * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
K. Milling 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
L. DeBruhl 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 4 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Mallette * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 17 25 -
M. Mitchell Jr. * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 7 13 12 -
J. Zidek * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 4 13 17 -
K. Fisher III * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 0 1 2 4 16 -
J. Smith * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 11 21 -
K. Munson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 5 10 -
C. McGill 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
V. Ohia Obioha 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 9 12 -
C. Ba 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
A. Murphy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Deng 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter