Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isiaih Mosley * | 34 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 3 | - |
| Donovan Clay * | 32 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Lu'Cye Patterson * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Gaige Prim * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ja'Monta Black * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Keaton Hervey | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jaylen Minnett | 17 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Isaac Haney | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dawson Carper | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nic Tata | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Bockler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ducas * | 34 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Bowen * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Johnson * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Marciulionis * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Saxen | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Barrett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter