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2021-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.4% 82.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.7% 85.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Pilots +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jacob Davison 34 7-15 2-5 1-2 5 3 1 1 2 17 10 -
Brantly Stevenson 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 4 3 -
Camren Pierce * 31 4-7 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 11 8 -
Alimamy Koroma * 21 5-9 1-1 2-5 4 1 0 0 2 13 7 -
Julien Franklin * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ajani Kennedy 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Kyle Colvin 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 0 3 -
Kobe Sanders 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Tuukka Jaakkola 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chika Nduka 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Svetozarevic 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Meadows * 39 5-8 0-0 3-3 3 2 1 0 0 13 11 -
T. Robertson * 38 3-11 2-7 8-8 2 7 2 0 4 16 12 -
Chris Austin * 33 4-8 3-4 1-2 4 4 0 1 1 12 12 -
K. Sjolund * 32 6-11 5-10 3-4 4 1 1 1 0 20 16 -
M. Wood * 26 3-8 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 7 3 -
M. Silveira 11 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 4 -
V. Vucinic 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter