Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.5% | 94.5% | +15.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Williams * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Josip Vrankic * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Keshawn Justice * | 33 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| PJ Pipes * | 30 | 10-12 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Parker Braun * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Bediako | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Giordan Williams | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Carlos Stewart | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Holt | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Camaron Tongue | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 37 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Matthew Lang | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rasir Bolton * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 30 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| Will Graves * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chet Holmgren | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Julian Strawther | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Nolan Hickman | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anton Watson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter