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2022-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.4% 23.6% - โœ“
Margin 86.4% 13.6% -10.2 โœ“ (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 92.5% 7.5% - โœ“

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -32 (83-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard 25 7-12 2-5 3-3 0 6 2 0 4 19 11 -
Martynas Arlauskas 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Matthew Lang 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Julian Strawther * 27 2-5 0-2 0-1 6 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
Drew Timme * 26 14-18 1-2 3-5 8 1 0 1 3 32 21 -
Chet Holmgren * 23 3-6 1-2 4-4 12 1 0 2 1 11 19 -
Rasir Bolton * 22 4-7 2-3 2-2 2 7 1 0 1 12 14 -
Anton Watson 20 4-6 1-1 2-3 11 2 3 0 2 11 19 -
Nolan Hickman 20 5-10 4-8 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 14 7 -
Hunter Sallis 20 3-6 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
Ben Gregg 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 0 2 -
Will Graves 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Williams * 29 6-16 2-4 3-4 5 4 2 1 2 17 11 -
Keshawn Justice * 28 5-13 3-7 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 13 6 -
Parker Braun * 27 5-9 1-3 0-1 5 3 3 1 0 11 14 -
PJ Pipes * 24 5-11 0-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 10 3 -
Josip Vrankic * 18 3-8 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 6 -3 -
Carlos Stewart 23 2-7 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 8 5 -
Giordan Williams 22 3-8 2-4 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 10 2 -
Jacob Holt 13 1-3 0-1 4-6 7 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
Camaron Tongue 10 1-3 0-2 0-2 5 1 1 1 1 2 6 -
Miguel Tomley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter