Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.2% | 53.8% | +0.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Smith * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - |
| DaRon Holmes II * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Kobe Elvis * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendric Davis * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 30 | - |
| Emmanuel Bandoumel * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Zach Nutall * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Isiah Jasey * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Smith * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Weathers | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Weathers | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Tristan Clark | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Zhuric Phelps | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jahmar Young | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter