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2021-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Wagner Seahawks Saint Francis Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 82.7% 17.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 86.4% 13.6% - โœ“
Margin 86.9% 13.1% -10.4 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 72.8% 27.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 69.8% 30.2% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Francis Red Wolves -8 (64-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Elijah Ford * 39 5-8 1-2 3-3 6 4 3 1 3 14 17 -
Alex Morales * 36 6-10 1-3 3-5 9 3 3 1 3 16 19 -
Delonnie Hunt * 35 3-8 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 -2 -
Raekwon Rogers * 28 8-12 0-0 2-3 6 0 2 0 2 18 12 -
Zaire Williams * 25 1-6 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -4 -
Will Martinez 24 6-7 0-0 4-7 1 3 1 0 1 16 13 -
Ja'Mier Fletcher 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Rob Taylor II 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jordan Mason 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Francis Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Maxwell Land * 37 4-9 3-7 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
Ramiir Dixon-Conover * 37 1-6 1-2 2-4 5 3 2 0 6 5 3 -
Marlon Hargis * 34 6-15 2-4 1-1 6 3 0 0 0 15 9 -
Ronell Giles * 33 7-13 2-4 2-2 2 0 2 0 4 18 5 -
Mark Flagg * 22 1-3 0-0 1-5 3 4 1 1 0 3 9 -
Josh Cohen 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Zahree Harrison 14 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 3 0 0 1 5 5 -
Luke Ruggery 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Brad McCabe 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jeriah Coleman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter