Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -5 (80-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 43 | 7-20 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| B. Griner | 41 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 25 | - |
| B. Turner | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 33 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes Russell | 45 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| S. Bird | 37 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 36 | 5-24 | 0-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | -1 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 35 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter