Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +1 (83-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 37 | 10-22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 35 | 5-12 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 34 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 31 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 29 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| DiDi Richards | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 40 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 37 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| B. Turner | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 30 | 2-14 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 28 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 22 | 6-9 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hartley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter