Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 79.8% | 20.2% | -7.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +5 (91-86). Ratings: 2022 season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 41 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 41 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Allie Quigley * | 36 | 7-20 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Azurá Stevens * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dana Evans | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Lexie Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner * | 41 | 12-19 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 41 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 39 | 7-16 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Brianna Turner * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 29 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bria Hartley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter