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2022-01-22

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 56.3% 43.7% -
Bradley-Terry 61.3% 38.7% -
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 (22.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +22 (98-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. LaRavia * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 3 1 2 31 47 -
RJ Davis * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 18 24 -
C. Love * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 9 12 -
B. Manek * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 3 0 0 22 33 -
A. Bacot * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 1 2 12 24 -
L. Black * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
D. Garcia 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 7 14 -
J. McKoy 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 10 -
P. Johnson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Walton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Dunn 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Styles 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Lester 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williamson * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 19 21 -
D. Monsanto 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 13 20 -
M. Marsh 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 7 11 -
C. Hildreth 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter