Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 37 | 2-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Trevor Keels * | 36 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 24 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Roach | 32 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Theo John | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Joey Baker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadin Shedrick | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malachi Poindexter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 39 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| K. Clark * | 38 | 9-15 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 23 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| F. Caffaro * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter