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2021-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 19.7% 80.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.4% 89.6% -
Log Adjusted 10.4% 89.6% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +1 (57-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Burton * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 11 17 -
J. Hugley IV * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 12 14 -
W. Jeffress * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 6 15 -
O. Ezeakudo * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 8 10 -
M. Gueye * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 8 16 -
N. Santos 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
D. Oladapo 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 9 -
N. Collier 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Clark * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 9 17 -
R. Beekman * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 0 0 10 -
J. Gardner * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 1 1 15 24 -
A. Franklin * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 14 -
F. Caffaro 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 8 -
T. Murray 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 5 7 -

* = starter