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2021-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% -
Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.0% 11.0% -
Log Adjusted 89.1% 10.9% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -1 (74-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Rebraca * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 11 -
P. McCaffery * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 0 7 15 -
Player #4594326 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 7 -
C. McCaffery 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
T. Perkins 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
Pa. Sandfort 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Clark * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 15 20 -
Player #4432187 * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 11 19 -
A. Franklin * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 8 -
J. Gardner * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 18 28 -
T. Murray 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 14 16 -
F. Caffaro 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter