Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +20 (67-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Shedrick | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Stattmann | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. McCorkle | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Milicic Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Poindexter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Clark * | 36 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Murray | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Coleman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sasser * | 35 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. Moore * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Edwards * | 28 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| F. White Jr. * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| R. Chaney * | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Shead | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Carlton | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Roberts | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Francis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Elvin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter