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2022-02-19

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 51.1% 48.9% -
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% -
Margin 60.3% 39.7% -2.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.4% 53.6% -
Log Adjusted 46.2% 53.8% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -8 (57-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bacot * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 0 0 5 3 12 29 -
B. Manek * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 14 19 -
L. Black * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 5 8 -
RJ Davis * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 10 17 -
P. Johnson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
D. Styles 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mutts * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 4 10 16 -
H. Cattoor * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 5 13 -
N. Alleyne * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 9 11 -
D. Maddox 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 5 -
S. Pedulla 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
D. N'Guessan 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter