Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -30 (56-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Keels * | 34 | 10-15 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 33 | 7-10 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeremy Roach | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Theo John | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Joey Baker | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Bates Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Worthington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Savarino | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mouhamadou Gueye * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| John Hugley * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Ithiel Horton * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jamarius Burton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Femi Odukale * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Onyebuchi Ezeakudo | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nate Santos | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| William Jeffress | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Noah Collier | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Chris Payton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter