Model Predictions
| Model | Brown Bears | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.3 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (94-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Mitchell | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jaylan Gainey | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Perry Cowan | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Noah Meren | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Paxson Wojcik * | 36 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Nana Owusu-Anane * | 35 | 8-15 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Dan Friday * | 27 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Kino Lilly | 29 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Cooley | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kimo Ferrari | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malachi Ndur | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love * | 37 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 9-17 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 27 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Dawson Garcia * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brady Manek | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Kerwin Walton | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Justin McKoy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dontrez Styles | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter