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2021-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 68.3% 31.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 66.2% 33.8% - โœ—
Margin 70.2% 29.8% -4.7 โœ— (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 58.1% 41.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.2% 41.8% - โœ—

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Keels * 36 3-12 1-4 2-3 3 3 2 0 2 9 3 -
Paolo Banchero * 35 4-14 1-3 5-6 5 1 1 0 3 14 4 -
Jeremy Roach * 35 4-10 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
W. Moore Jr. * 34 7-15 0-2 3-5 8 5 2 0 1 17 16 -
Mark Williams * 22 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 2 1 8 10 -
Joey Baker 21 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
Theo John 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
AJ Griffin 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Bates Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E.J. Liddell * 36 5-10 1-3 3-7 14 6 0 3 4 14 23 -
Justin Ahrens * 35 2-8 2-7 1-3 6 0 1 1 0 7 7 -
Jamari Wheeler * 29 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 7 4 -
Zed Key * 27 8-15 0-0 4-6 3 1 0 0 0 20 9 -
Malaki Branham * 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 3 -
Kyle Young 20 1-4 1-2 0-1 5 2 0 0 0 3 6 -
Meechie Johnson 16 0-3 0-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Cedric Russell 15 3-4 3-3 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 12 11 -
Jimmy Sotos 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joey Brunk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter