Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.6% | 99.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +35.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +26 (107-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Moffe | 36 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Hayden Brown | 30 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jason Roche | 30 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brent Davis | 27 | 7-9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Jackson Price | 21 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Rudy Fitzgibbons | 19 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Clark | 18 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Owen Spencer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| David Maynard | 5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brady Spence | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 34 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 26 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 31 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Trevor Keels * | 29 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 20 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Joey Baker | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Theo John | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| AJ Griffin | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Bates Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter