Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 29 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Jacob Toppin | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Daimion Collins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Roach * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Keels * | 34 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 12 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Theo John | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Joey Baker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| AJ Griffin | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter