Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.1% | 63.9% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Strawther * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 32 | - |
| Rasir Bolton * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Anton Watson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Nolan Hickman | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kaden Perry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Keels * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 16 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 35 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 34 | - |
| Joey Baker | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Theo John | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| AJ Griffin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter