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2022-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 41.3% 58.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 33.8% 66.2% +3.7 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.2% 44.8% -
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Brown Bears -15 (50-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Kirkwood 31 4-10 1-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 4 11 6 -
M. Forbes 28 4-6 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 11 7 -
L. Sakota * 31 7-13 4-7 0-0 6 4 2 0 1 18 16 -
D. Wojcik * 28 2-7 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 4 -4 -
K. Catchings * 25 5-6 1-2 3-6 7 0 2 0 0 14 17 -
L. Lesmond 27 2-4 1-3 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 5 10 -
S. Silverstein 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
S. Freedman 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
E. Nelson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Ajogbor 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lilly Jr. * 36 5-16 4-10 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 14 4 -
P. Wojcik * 36 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 7 8 -
T. Choh * 35 1-10 0-3 4-5 5 6 2 0 6 6 3 -
J. Gainey * 32 6-8 0-0 1-4 13 0 1 2 0 13 21 -
D. Mitchell * 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
P. Cowan 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
K. Ferrari 16 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -3 -
A. Cooley 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
N. Meren 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Ndur 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
L. Erold 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter