Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 94.0% | 6.0% | -15.2 | ✗ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +13 (67-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayeann Day-Wilson | 33 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Taylor | 32 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| L. Gordon | 24 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| E. Balogun | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. de Jesus | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Goodchild | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Volker | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| I. Lewis | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| O. Akinbode-James | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams | 10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Finklea-Guity | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Toi | 37 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| T. Valladay | 35 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. McLean | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| M. Dale | 26 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Miller | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kaydan Lawson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Parker | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Deja Bristol | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aaliyah Pitts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter