Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.4 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +2 (2-0). Predictions use season-end ratings.