Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -15 (39-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Goodchild | 28 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Gordon | 28 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Shayeann Day-Wilson | 28 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Taylor | 23 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| E. Balogun | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| O. Akinbode-James | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Vanessa de Jesus | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Williams | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Lee Volker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Finklea-Guity | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris | 27 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| J. Everett | 27 | 2-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -8 | - |
| A. Brown | 24 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Taisha Exanor | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Igbokwe | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| E. Hayford | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Maliyah Johnson | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| C. Ezeja | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Strother | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sandrine Clesca | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Tracey Hueston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Dunn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter