Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.6% | 58.4% | +1.9 | ✓ (23.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +25 (62-37). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Toi | 38 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 2 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Valladay | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Miller | 24 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| M. McLean | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Dale | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kaydan Lawson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Parker | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Minnis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaliyah Pitts | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Griffin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Howard | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| V. Myers | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| O'Mariah Gordon | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Jones | 24 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Sammie Puisis | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Jackson | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Makayla Timpson | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| S. Bejedi | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Weber | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Baldwin | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mariana Valenzuela | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Nicoletti Leite | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter