Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +9 (57-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Toi | 40 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -7 | - |
| T. Valladay | 36 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Miller | 34 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Lawson | 31 | 5-15 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarkson | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| E. Parker | 17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Dale | 13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Bristol | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Day-Wilson | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| V. de Jesus | 31 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| E. Balogun | 29 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| N. Green | 23 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| L. Gordon | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| O. Akinbode-James | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Havas | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. Volker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter