Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.7% | 1.3% | -23.9 | ✓ (32.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers -56 (33-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Todd-Williams | 30 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Ustby | 29 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| E. Hodgson | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Kelly | 24 | 3-14 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -1 | - |
| C. Littlefield | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Anya Poole | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| M. Tshitenge | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Adams | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Wiggins | 9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alexandra Zelaya | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Murray | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McMillian | 34 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| K. McKinney | 32 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Williams | 25 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| O. Jett-Wilson | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| M. Boykin | 20 | 0-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Jacee Busick | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Lawrence | 14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. Davis | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. McGraw | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Konek | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| A. Middleton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Wade | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter