Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.4% | 0.6% | -28.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -20 (46-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Calip | 36 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| M. Bhinhar | 30 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| S. Wilson | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. White | 29 | 6-16 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| A. Jackson | 27 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Rocca | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| I. Nwachukwu | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| I. Delarue | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Ezeh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Byers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Frederick | 28 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| O. Brown | 26 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| G. White | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C. Morrison | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Gunn | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Dunson | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Vankempen | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Earnest | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Weinman | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| I. Pitts | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Interrante | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Johnston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Beyer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter