Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +18 (66-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoka Lee * | 39 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jaelyn Glenn * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Serena Sundell * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Brylee Glenn * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Emilee Ebert * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Laura Macke | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jada Moore | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Cymone Goodrich | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Rebekah Dallinger | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Taylor Lauterbach | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joanne Allen-Taylor * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Rori Harmon * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Aliyah Matharu * | 33 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| DeYona Gaston * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Aaliyah Moore * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Audrey Warren | 27 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Lauren Ebo | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Shay Holle | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Anissa Gutierrez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyndall Hunter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Latasha Lattimore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter