Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas Jayhawks | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones +15 (77-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Kansas Jayhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holly Kersgieter * | 31 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -3.6 |
| Taiyanna Jackson * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 19 | +15.4 |
| Zakiyah Franklin * | 26 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | -11.6 |
| Katrine Jessen * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Aniya Thomas * | 15 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Julie Brosseau | 25 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +9.4 |
| Mia Vuksic | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Chandler Prater | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -11.7 |
| Matea Nikolic | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.9 |
| Nadira Eltayeb | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -17.8 |
| Sanna Strom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Ryan * | 40 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 22 | +11.9 |
| As. Joens * | 40 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | +14.6 |
| Lexi Donarski * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +10.7 |
| Morgan Kane * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +5.1 |
| Maggie Espenmiller-McGraw * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Aubrey Joens | 28 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +19.2 |
| Beatriz Jordao | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Nyamer Diew | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Maggie Vick | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Izabella Zingaro | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter