Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.2% | 61.8% | +2.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +5 (78-73). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nixon * | 37 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Merle Wiehl * | 37 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Lindsey VanAllen * | 37 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 16 | - |
| Anna Johnson * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Danja Stafford Collins * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Shayley Harris | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Rafailia Stergaki | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Bevington | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emma Ellinghouse | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taycee Wedin * | 35 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Madeline Holland * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Ali Bamberger * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tayla Dalton * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jade Kirisome * | 23 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Hannah Rapp | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Leia Hanafin | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mak. Mastora | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Aspen Garrison | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ellie Croco | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter