Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Marymount Lions | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -10 (56-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Mark * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ariel Johnson * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 11-12 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Nicole Anderson * | 32 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Kimora Sykes * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jasmine Jones * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Khari Clark | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cassandra Gordon | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aspyn Adams | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Meghan Mandel | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Smith * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Elizabeth Elliott * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Erica Adams * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Anaya James * | 21 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Madelene Ennis * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Sam Ashby | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Rosie Schweizer | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Diamond Richardson | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Josephine Millard | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Cruz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cecilia Holmberg | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter