Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.6% | 0.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.6% | 0.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves -12 (54-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melody Kempton * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +7.4 |
| Kayleigh Truong * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Cierra Walker * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Anamaria Virjoghe * | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Abby O'Connor * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +9.5 |
| Kaylynne Truong | 23 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | +5.9 |
| McKayla Williams | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -15.6 |
| Eliza Hollingsworth | 13 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | +4.4 |
| Yvonne Ejim | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Bree Salenbien | 10 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +8.5 |
| Maud Huijbens | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.5 |
| Esther Little | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Obinma * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Meaali'i Amosa * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11.3 |
| Cheyenne Givens * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Jane Nwaba * | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +2.8 |
| Helena Friend * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Ally Stedman | 23 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | +3.7 |
| Kendyl Carson | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | +0.6 |
| Malia Bambrick | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Eve Braslis | 15 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Jayla Ruffus-Milner | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +8.5 |
* = starter