Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.7 | ✗ (23.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Potter | 36 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tia Harvey | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| S. Kourouma | 33 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 7-10 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| M. Caicedo | 31 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Francis | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Robinson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Eddins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wallace | 38 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Mailyn Wilkerson | 37 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Lauryn Pendleton | 35 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jade Upshaw | 28 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kiayra Ellis | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Love | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Washington | 18 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter