Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +18 (73-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Taylor | 40 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Hood | 29 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Eaton | 25 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| S. Dickson | 24 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Thompson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Reed | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Bowie | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Standifer | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Leff | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sanders | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 14 | - |
| M. Porter | 32 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Emily Carver | 29 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| F. Alston | 27 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Allesch | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Gilbert | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Frazier | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Bigott | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Bertolina | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zada Porter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter