Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Georgia Southern Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia Southern Eagles +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dziak | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Alex Gitchenko | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Foster | 22 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| T. Lyons | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| H. Sadler | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Worth | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Deasia Merrill | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Phillip | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mikyla Tolivert | 14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Smith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nyla Jean | 8 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| E. Bell | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terren Ward | 38 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 18 | - |
| M. Banks | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Burns | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. James | 23 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Love-Hill | 21 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| T. Gibson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Daeja Holmes | 15 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lydia Freeman | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Eden Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| CeCe Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter