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UT Arlington Mavericks 90
@
Arkansas State Red Wolves 87
2022-01-27 · Shot chart

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks Arkansas State Red Wolves Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 76.2% 23.8% - ✓
Margin 60.3% 39.7% - ✓
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 78.5% 21.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.9% 44.1% - ✓

Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves -3 (87-90). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Starr Jacobs * 38 13-21 0-0 6-9 7 3 1 0 2 32 20 +2.0
Claire Chastain * 33 4-9 0-1 2-2 8 2 1 0 2 10 10 -5.1
Terryn Milton * 33 3-9 0-1 1-1 4 7 0 0 1 7 8 -9.0
Katie Ferrell * 29 4-5 2-2 0-0 7 9 3 4 2 10 26 +15.7
Shyia Smith * 17 4-6 0-0 2-3 6 1 1 0 2 10 10 +10.6
De'Sha Benjamin 24 7-13 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 16 6 -9.1
Emma Halverson 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -18.0
Camryn Hawkins 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.4
Reniya Jones 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.2

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jireh Washington * 40 10-14 4-6 4-4 5 4 1 0 2 28 22 +7.6
Morgan Wallace * 40 3-8 1-4 5-6 11 10 3 0 4 12 24 +4.8
Lauryn Pendleton * 36 5-13 0-3 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 11 3 +4.7
Mailyn Wilkerson * 35 4-10 4-9 0-0 0 6 0 0 1 12 7 +9.4
Trinitee Jackson * 25 9-15 0-0 3-6 8 0 2 0 2 21 14 +10.1
Kiayra Ellis 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -4.0
Mya Love 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 -6.9

* = starter