Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +5 (66-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aja Blount * | 38 | 7-22 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Angie Juste-Jean * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | +6.8 |
| Arin Freeman * | 32 | 1-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +10.5 |
| Blayre Shultz * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Jane. Camp * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Arielle-Vadrelle Belinga | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.3 |
| Tyra Brown | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Deaja Richardson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Kalaya Buggs | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -13.2 |
| Jordyn Newsome | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.1 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela Porter * | 39 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | +1.0 |
| Alexia Allesch * | 37 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 18 | +9.2 |
| Emily Carver * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Brooke Bigott * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -12.7 |
| Janay Sanders * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -9.9 |
| Faith Alston | 23 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +14.0 |
| Dane Bertolina | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +6.3 |
| Zada Porter | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +13.9 |
| Summer Schloss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.8 |
* = starter