Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +2 (69-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hood | 37 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| K. Taylor | 37 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 7-10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 4 | - |
| L. Thompson | 30 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 28 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | - |
| J. Bowie | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Dickson | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| G. Standifer | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Reed | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Eaton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starr Jacobs | 39 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 14 | - |
| T. Milton | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Chastain | 27 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Ferrell | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| S. Smith | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Benjamin | 24 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Halverson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter