Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.6% | 95.4% | +16.6 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +6 (98-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Alston | 37 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Sanders | 34 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| B. Bigott | 31 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Allesch | 27 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| M. Porter | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Emily Carver | 20 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Gilbert | 8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Frazier | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Bertolina | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Zada Porter | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Schloss | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wallace | 37 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 19 | - |
| J. Washington | 33 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| K. Patton | 32 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Mailyn Wilkerson | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Jackson | 26 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kiayra Ellis | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Lauryn Pendleton | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Love | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jade Upshaw | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter