Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Central Michigan Chippewas | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.0% | 3.0% | -19.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Michigan Chippewas -24 (52-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wiard | 33 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Jansen | 28 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Sammi Mikonowicz | 26 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Q. Lockett | 24 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Cook | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Soleil Barnes | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Khera Goss | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Hannah Noveroske | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nan Garcia | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Lance | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Y. Curry | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Halle Idowu | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Doherty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Central Michigan Chippewas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Tesson | 38 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Hanna Knoll | 37 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -5 | - |
| A. Weekes | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Rebekah Gordon | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Karrington Gordon | 23 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| T. Timpe | 22 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
* = starter