Model Predictions
| Model | Western Michigan Broncos | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +16 (67-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Michigan Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Wagner * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Lauren Ross * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | -8.3 |
| Taylor Williams * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | -10.8 |
| Reilly Jacobson * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -15.1 |
| Hannah Spitzley * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Sydney Shafer | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Abby Voss | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Maddie Watters | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.4 |
| Gabi Saxman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -8.6 |
| Lauren Audino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Hannah Douglas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Velasco * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | +17.1 |
| Elissa Brett * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +6.5 |
| Nyla Hampton * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 | +9.3 |
| Kadie Hempfling * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Morgan Sharps * | 20 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +8.9 |
| Kenzie Lewis | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Madisen Parker | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5.8 |
| Jocelyn Tate | 11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +6.9 |
| Zoe Miller | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.3 |
| Sophie Dziekan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Molly Dever | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
* = starter