Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -2 (70-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thelma Dis Agustsdottir * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Chyna Latimer * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | +2.6 |
| Estel Puiggros * | 33 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | +4.0 |
| Marie Kiefer * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Ally Becki * | 25 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 17 | +6.9 |
| Ivet Subirats | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +8.6 |
| Annie Rauch | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +5.8 |
| Madelyn Bischoff | 7 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +0.3 |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loren Christie * | 40 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -4.8 |
| Summer Hemphill * | 40 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -4.2 |
| Dyaisha Fair * | 38 | 7-20 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 8 | +0.4 |
| Dominique Camp * | 37 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | -2.7 |
| Georgia Woolley * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 15 | -3.8 |
| Ramatoulaye Keita | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +2.1 |
* = starter