Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -7 (72-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Burris * | 40 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +10.2 |
| CeCe Hooks * | 39 | 11-18 | 2-3 | 6-10 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 23 | +17.3 |
| Erica Johnson * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | +17.9 |
| Kaylee Bambule * | 34 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +10.0 |
| Madi Mace * | 33 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +11.5 |
| Yaya Felder | 12 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Kate Dennis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.8 |
| Hunter Rogan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammi Mikonowicz * | 39 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 32 | -10.4 |
| Sophia Wiard * | 39 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 4 | -3.7 |
| Quinesha Lockett * | 35 | 9-22 | 1-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 8 | +5.0 |
| Khera Goss * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -14.7 |
| Jessica Cook * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | -13.3 |
| Jayda Jansen | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -10.7 |
| Yaniah Curry | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.8 |
| Hannah Noveroske | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +6.5 |
| Soleil Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Halle Idowu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter